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Crown Green Handicap

Robert Rogers

Team: ThingwallDivision: League 3Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

805

Current Handicap

10
Honours
Season:

26

Matches Played

21

Wins

5

Losses

81%

Win Rate

9.4

Avg Win Margin

6.4

Avg Loss Margin

12-2

Home Record

9-3

Away Record

44%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
26 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/23/2019

Only 26 of the 39 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Hot Streak 1513/15
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS
2019
90% Season92%

Handicap Trend

All Time · 26 matches

+10 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

18 May11 Jun13 Jul3 Aug14 Jun12 Jul29 Jul23 Aug-13713

Gives 10 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current10
Win Percentage(40%)
81%
score+0.62→contribution+0.25
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
9.4
score+0.24→contribution+0.06
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
6.4
score+0.27→contribution+0.04
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
90%
score+0.80→contribution+0.08
Opponent Strength(10%)
843
score+0.46→contribution+0.05
Weighted Score+0.471
Sample Size Confidence
44%(26/39 matches)
Rating1236 → shrunk 1105→ adjusted 805
Handicap
10

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

21W5L26 matches·80.8% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Thingwall2018–2019League 32621580.8%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/23/2019Dave AstleH21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 3
8/19/2019Frank PotterA21-10WIN+11LeagueLeague 3
8/14/2019Peter McgheeH21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 3
8/5/2019John MountfordA10-21LOSS-11LeagueLeague 3
7/29/2019James AthertonH21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 3
7/22/2019Dave CrostonA21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 3
7/19/2019Ray WoodsH21-6WIN+15LeagueLeague 3
7/12/2019John PritchardH21-10WIN+11LeagueLeague 3
7/8/2019Peter McgheeA21-6WIN+15LeagueLeague 3
7/5/2019Steve SherlockH21-4WIN+17LeagueLeague 3
6/14/2019Richard BendreyA21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 3
5/10/2019Leonard WheddonH21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 3
8/17/2018Karen JamesA21-10WIN+11LeagueLeague 3
8/10/2018Kenny BrierleyH21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 3
8/3/2018Ian WilsonH21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 3
7/27/2018Ray HughesA21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 3
7/20/2018Joe LandsboroughH21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 3
7/13/2018Mark SmithA14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
7/6/2018Jake McelnayA21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 3
7/2/2018Bill PorterH21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 3
6/11/2018Harry RobinsonH13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
6/8/2018Graham RobinsonA17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
6/1/2018Geoff NewnsA21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 3
5/21/2018Roy RobinsonA21-2WIN+19LeagueLeague 3
5/18/2018Paul BarnsH19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 3
5/4/2018Craig EdwardsH21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 3
Cec Hannay Rose Bowl3 games · 3W
20193 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundAndrew ParnellThingwall B21-9WINWON
Round of 16 RoundJohn OldhamManor Road B21-11WINWON
Quarters RoundRichard BendreyNew Brighton Quarry Vikings C21-17WINLOST
Stott Cup3 games · 3W
20183 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundRita GunniglePensby21-9WINWON
Quarters RoundAndy WainwrightParkfield21-8WINWON
Semi Final RoundColin PortisLever Club21-11WINLOST
Doctor Dawson Victory Cup1 games · 0W
20191 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundJohn SherlockUpton Victory Hall15-21LOSSLOST
Frank Hurst Trophy1 games · 0W
20191 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundPhil EdgeLever Club12-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

3wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

13

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

2

Career worst losing streak

Last 580% win rate
WWWLW
Last 1090% win rate— steady
WWWLWWWWWW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Peter Mcghee202100%8/14/2019
Dave Astle101100%8/23/2019
Frank Potter101100%8/19/2019
John Mountford0110%8/5/2019
James Atherton101100%7/29/2019
Dave Croston101100%7/22/2019
Ray Woods101100%7/19/2019
John Pritchard101100%7/12/2019
Steve Sherlock101100%7/5/2019
Richard Bendrey101100%6/14/2019
Biggest Win
Roy Robinson (+19)5/21/2018
Heaviest Defeat
John Mountford (-11)8/5/2019
Best Season
201992% · 12 matches
Worst Season
201871% · 14 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
69% → 92%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
82323 known · 3 unknown
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
19-483% win rate
League 380.8%
21W·5L·26 played

Debut

May 4, 2018

Latest

Aug 23, 2019

Seasons Active

2 (1.3 yr span)

Matches / Season

13.0 (26 total)

Seasons

20182019